Author name: 胡思

Solar Energy and Battery Storage at Night

Many people still cling to an outdated notion: when the sun sets, solar energy disappears. This judgment is no longer valid in today’s context. The true transformation of energy reality is not solely due to solar panels, but also to batteries. When batteries become affordable, the sunlight that is not fully utilized during the day can be stored and released steadily at night.

The decline in battery prices is the starting point of this entire narrative. Since 2010, the cost of lithium batteries has plummeted by 90%, and there appears to be no end in sight. Several battery manufacturers and research institutions anticipate that, with process simplification, reduced material usage, and ongoing scale expansion, battery costs will continue to decline significantly.

As a result, solar energy combined with battery storage has become economically viable. Based on recent actual projects, the overall generation cost of such systems generally falls between $60 and $80 per MWh. In contrast, the comprehensive cost of newly built natural gas power plants, even without accounting for carbon taxes and other social costs, remains between $90 and $120 per MWh, and is entirely subject to international natural gas prices and geopolitical factors.

This transition is particularly crucial for subtropical regions. The disparity in solar energy generation between winter and summer is relatively small, and output is stable. With several hours of storage, it can adequately meet daily electricity demands. In high-latitude countries like the UK, batteries are equally indispensable, albeit for slightly different purposes. In addition to solar energy, they complement wind power: when strong winds generate excess electricity in the dead of night, causing electricity prices to drop to negative levels and leading to forced curtailment of wind energy, batteries become a key tool for storing surplus wind energy for peak demand usage.

Many still dismiss the transition with the phrase ‘renewable energy depends on the weather,’ but this statement overlooks the existence of energy storage. As battery costs continue to decline, energy systems are no longer constrained by immediate weather conditions; rather, they depend on overall resource availability and dispatch capability. In a world abundant with wind and sunlight, the truly unstable factors are the prices and supply of fossil fuels.

The idea that ‘there is solar energy at night’ is not just a catchy phrase; it is a conclusion naturally derived from cost curves and system design. When solar and wind energy are paired with long-duration batteries, they become cheaper and more controllable than newly constructed fossil fuel power plants. The question is no longer ‘is it feasible?’ but rather ‘why resist it?’

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The Dilemma of Local Governance in England

The primary issue with local governance in England is not the incompetence of local authorities, but rather that they are institutionally designed to fail. Power and resources are highly concentrated in Westminster, leaving local governments with responsibilities but no corresponding control. Over time, this systemic flaw has become evident.

One of the fundamental limitations of local councils is that they bear significant statutory responsibilities without having control over the relevant resources. Social welfare, adult care, children’s services, and special educational needs are all mandated by law, and demand continues to rise with an aging population and social changes. However, local governments lack sufficient financial tools to respond, relying instead on central government funding settlements, which have tightened over the past two decades. Consequently, local authorities are forced to ‘rob Peter to pay Paul’ among statutory services, sacrificing long-term beneficial investments—such as in transport, culture, and economic development—first.

In 2004, the Labour government attempted to establish a regional assembly in the North East of England, marking the first elected regional government in England. However, it was rejected in a referendum by nearly 78% of voters. This failure is often oversimplified as ‘the English do not want local autonomy,’ but the more direct reason was that the assembly lacked real power and stable financial sources while seeking to replace existing county councils. Voters saw no tangible benefits, only an additional layer of political structure, and their rejection was unsurprising.

Subsequently, the UK shifted towards promoting combined authorities, merging multiple local governments into larger administrative units with some functions delegated by the central government, along with elected mayors. While this arrangement appears pragmatic, it still fails to address the core power structure.

For instance, the North East is currently covered by two combined authorities: the North East Combined Authority and the Tees Valley Combined Authority. On the surface, they are no different from the regional assembly that was rejected years ago; the problem remains that they are merely administrative arrangements, not political entities. They lack their own councils, independent legislative powers, and stable, predictable financial foundations.

Even more perplexing is their decision-making mechanism. Major decisions within a combined authority often require repeated negotiations between elected mayors and leaders of all member local councils. If consensus cannot be reached, decision-making stagnates. This is neither parliamentary democracy nor a single executive leadership system, but rather a highly consultative, low-accountability hybrid. When policy failures occur, voters find it difficult to determine whom to hold accountable.

London is one of the few exceptions. In addition to having a mayor, London also has the London Assembly, which provides scrutiny, oversight, and public debate, at least forming a basic structure for democratic checks and balances. However, this system has not been replicated in other regions of England.

Another structural issue is that local and regional governments must continually ‘bid’ to Westminster. Whether for transport, housing, skills training, or urban renewal, local authorities must draft proposals to compete for centrally-led funding, akin to participating in a beauty pageant, catering to the policy preferences of the current minister. Resource allocation is not based on local long-term needs but rather on the central government’s current political priorities.

If local authorities truly controlled their resources, the issues could be much simpler. They could independently determine budget allocations, balancing transport, education, public health, and economic development, rather than passively executing Whitehall’s directives. The essence of local politics should be about trade-offs and accountability, not incessantly writing bids and awaiting approvals.

Therefore, the truly reasonable direction for reform is not to further patch up combined authorities but to complete the long-overdue constitutional arrangements in England. By establishing eight new regional assemblies along existing English regional boundaries, these would be placed on an institutional level equivalent to London, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. Clearly defining their legislative powers, financial rights, and areas of responsibility would allow for the devolution of both resources and power.

This is not radical reform but rather institutional catch-up. Only when England finally possesses a political structure commensurate with its scale can local governance truly mature, allowing Westminster to disengage from the minutiae of local affairs. The problem in England has never been that localities are incapable, but rather that the central government exerts too much control and detail.

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Users Abandoning Gas Risks a Costly Transition

The stagnation of gas pipeline networks is not a problem unique to any one country; rather, it is a structural dilemma faced by the entire developed world. Europe, North America, Australia, and Japan—all regions that laid extensive urban gas networks in the 20th century—now find themselves at the same crossroads. The question is not whether to dismantle these systems, but rather when, how, and who will bear the costs.

In a truly decarbonized energy system, the combustion of fossil fuels has no reasonable place. This is not an ideological debate; it is a matter of physical law. Regardless of whether gas is sourced from underground or repackaged as ‘low-carbon’, its combustion inevitably results in greenhouse gas emissions. Fortunately, mature and superior alternatives already exist for residential and commercial buildings: heat pumps can amplify one unit of electricity into three to four units of heat, while induction stoves eliminate indoor pollution, offering efficiency, safety, and health benefits that far surpass those of gas. Energy transition does not mean a reduction in quality of life; rather, it signifies the obsolescence of a technically outdated system.

Consequently, the trend of users ‘jumping ship’ is inevitable. As households and businesses gradually shift towards full electrification, they not only save on energy costs per kWh but also avoid the fixed charges embedded in their gas bills that pay for the entire network. The result is that as users decrease, the network costs per household increase; higher costs drive away even more potential users. This death spiral is not a market failure; it is the natural conclusion of infrastructure that has lost its justification for existence.

Some may argue that if this is the case, why not delay the transition as much as possible? However, this is precisely the most dangerous choice. If gas networks are not phased out, humanity must continue to rely heavily on fossil fuels, pushing the global warming trajectory towards 3 °C or even higher. This would not merely represent a failure to meet abstract climate targets; it would lead to concrete and brutal systemic disasters: extreme heat becoming the norm, reduced agricultural yields, disrupted water resources, coastal cities forced to retreat, and the economic and social costs far exceeding the expense of decommissioning any gas pipeline. In contrast, dismantling the network is not radical; it is rational.

The truly challenging issue lies in how to transition fairly. Gas pipelines cannot be shut down overnight, as many households will still depend on them for basic heating and hot water in the short to medium term. If left entirely to market forces, the last remaining users—often the most vulnerable with the least choices—will bear the highest costs. This is why the retirement of gas infrastructure cannot be merely a commercial outcome; it must become a part of public policy. The costs of stranded assets must be paid regardless; the only difference is whether they are distributed in a planned manner or explode uncontrollably later on.

Thus, the conclusion is clear and rational. First, the expansion of gas distribution networks should be halted immediately to avoid creating assets that are bound to be scrapped. Second, a predictable and enforceable decommissioning timetable should be established, synchronizing the sealing and dismantling of pipelines with the rollout of alternatives like heat pumps and building energy efficiency measures. Third, policy tools should be employed to ensure that the costs of transition do not disproportionately burden the last remaining households still using gas.

Gas pipelines must eventually be phased out; this is not an option but a prerequisite. The real choice left is whether to dismantle them in an orderly fashion now or to pay a heavier and more inequitable price after climate chaos ensues.

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Differences in Property Title Systems: Hong Kong vs. UK

In Hong Kong, the first thing buyers are often reminded of is not the duration of their mortgage, but rather the stack of “original contracts”. Lawyers solemnly advise clients to keep these documents safe, as losing them can lead to a complicated recovery process, making resale or refinancing difficult. Over time, the property title becomes not just a legal document but a family heirloom that must be carefully preserved.

In contrast, many Hong Kongers find it hard to believe that in the UK, after a transaction is completed, the lawyer typically hands over a thin printed document, just a few pages listing the property address, owner’s name, and basic rights information. There is no real “original” document, as anyone can purchase a copy of the land registry for just a few pounds. The pages in hand serve merely as a convenient record rather than the foundation of property ownership.

This stark contrast leads many Hong Kongers to mistakenly believe that the UK has no property titles. However, strictly speaking, the UK does have titles; it simply no longer requires a stack of documents to prove ownership. The real difference lies not in the quantity of documents but in the system itself.

Hong Kong employs a document registration system. The government is responsible for registering documents related to land, primarily determining the priority of registered documents without guaranteeing ownership itself. The validity of ownership depends on a complete and unblemished chain of documents. Thus, with each transaction, lawyers must meticulously trace back through earlier documents related to land grants, transfers, and mortgages to ensure there are no gaps or contradictions.

The consequences of this system are quite tangible in Hong Kong’s property market. Properties lacking complete original contracts, known as “no-title properties” or “copy-title properties”, do exist and are not merely theoretical issues. Banks tend to be more cautious when approving mortgages for these properties, sometimes even refusing to lend, which compresses the buyer pool to cash buyers and significantly reduces liquidity. As a result, these properties often require price discounts compared to similar units in the same area with complete contracts, with the extent of the discount varying by situation, but the impact is real.

Consequently, a uniquely local arrangement has emerged in Hong Kong: even if an owner has sufficient funds to pay the full price of a property upfront, they often deliberately take out a small mortgage just to have the bank safeguard the entire set of original contracts. The bank’s role is not merely to lend money but rather functions more like a systematic safe deposit box. This practice itself underscores the weight of documents within the system.

The UK, along with most developed economies today, operates under a property registration system. The state establishes legally binding land registries that clearly record who the owner is and the scope of their rights. Once registration is completed, the law directly acknowledges the registered result. Old documents may still exist but are primarily supplementary; even if individual old documents are not available, they typically do not undermine the registered ownership status.

It is important to note that not all land in the UK is fully registered; a small number of properties still belong to unregistered titles that rely on historical deeds to prove ownership. However, these cases are now rare, and the design of the system includes a crucial distinction: when selling or mortgaging, unregistered titles are usually legally required to complete registration first. In other words, document issues are absorbed and resolved during the transaction process rather than lingering in the market, becoming a common price-dampening label.

Globally, there are not many places that still rely heavily on document registration systems, and they are mostly concentrated in developing countries. India is often cited as an example, where many regions only register transaction documents rather than providing state guarantees for ownership, leading to widespread land disputes and a backlog of court cases. Similar situations exist in Pakistan and Bangladesh; in Africa, parts of Nigeria still experience a coexistence of documents, local customary law, and administrative approvals, resulting in insufficient clarity of ownership and frequent disputes. These areas continue to rely on document systems not due to their rigor but because of heavy historical burdens and high transformation costs.

In contrast, countries like the UK, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand completed their transition in the 20th century, with the state assuming responsibility for confirming ownership, significantly reducing transaction risks and costs. Documents still exist, but they are no longer the critical burden on owners.

Thus, the real question worth asking is not “why can property ownership information in the UK be obtained for just a few pounds,” but rather “why does Hong Kong still require that stack of original contracts?” The answer is not mysterious. Hong Kong is not without reform directions and has already legislated for a property registration system; the challenge lies in how to address the vast historical ownership issues and who will bear the risks during the transition process. The task is monumental, and lacking immediate political returns, the system has remained in a prolonged transitional state.

The weight of property titles often represents not security but rather a burden left by history.

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The Real Reason Christmas is on December 25

Each December, as cities are adorned with lights and carols fill the air, many assume that Christmas is celebrated on December 25 because it marks the birth of Jesus Christ. Others suggest that the date is significant as it is close to the winter solstice, symbolizing the retreat of darkness and the return of light. While these interpretations hold some merit, a closer examination of church history reveals that the origin of December 25 resembles a gradually formed narrative of faith rather than a precisely recorded historical date.

In the worldview of the early church, time was not seen as fragmented or random. Jewish tradition and early Christian belief commonly held that God’s actions in history possess inherent harmony and symmetry. One belief that is less frequently mentioned today is the concept of the ‘full age’: significant figures chosen by God would have their earthly missions begin and end on the same day. Conception and crucifixion, beginnings and completions, resonate with one another in God’s design.

Thus, the early church’s primary focus was not on determining the date of Jesus’ birth but rather on pinpointing the moment of His crucifixion. All four Gospels record that Jesus was sentenced to crucifixion by the Roman governor Pontius Pilate around Passover. Historical records can roughly establish Pilate’s tenure from AD 26 to 36, while Passover, according to the Jewish calendar, always falls on a full moon. For contemporary Christians, this provided a rare and valuable timeline clue.

By the second and third centuries, the Western church gradually adopted a traditional view that Jesus was crucified on March 25. This date was not precise enough to serve as historical evidence but was seen as a complete, solemn, and theologically coherent day within the narrative of salvation. Following the belief in ‘full age’, it was also concluded that Jesus must have been conceived on the same day. Adding nine months leads naturally to December 25 as the commemorative date of His birth.

If we delve further into the question of the exact year of Jesus’ birth, history provides a clearer outline. The Gospel of Matthew states that Jesus was born during the reign of King Herod; historians generally agree that Herod died in 4 BC. Therefore, Jesus could not have been born in AD 1 but was likely born between 6 BC and 4 BC, with some studies even suggesting as early as 7 BC. This implies that the ‘AD’ dating system we use today is already several years out of sync with the actual timing of Jesus’ birth.

The ‘star’ mentioned in the Gospel of Matthew, often referred to as the ‘Star of Bethlehem’, has sparked considerable imagination and speculation over the centuries. Some scholars note that in 7 BC, Jupiter and Saturn had a rare triple conjunction in Pisces; in the context of ancient astrology, such celestial events were easily interpreted as symbols of kingship and the Israelite nation. Other studies mention that Chinese historical texts recorded a possible nova or comet phenomenon in 5 BC, which aligns closely with the estimated years of Jesus’ birth. While these speculations are certainly intriguing, they remain mere attempts by later generations and were never foundational to the church’s establishment of the Christmas date.

For early Christians, celestial bodies served more as a narrative language than as tools for calculating years. What truly mattered was how God entered the world through history, not the precision of a particular night. Consequently, the Eastern church employed the same theological reasoning, interpreting the dates of crucifixion and conception as April 6, which naturally leads to January 6, celebrated today as Epiphany. The methodology is the same, the dates differ, but the focus remains on meaning rather than precision.

Therefore, December 25 has never been Jesus’ ‘birth certificate’. It is a day that gradually took shape through prayer, contemplation, and theological understanding, later fortuitously aligning with the winter solstice, enhancing the symbolism of ‘light entering the world’. It serves as a reminder not of historical certainty but of how faith perceives time and discerns the rhythm of God’s presence throughout the ages. In this sense, Christmas transcends the date itself, becoming a celebration of deeper significance.

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South Wales Metro: Reviving Productivity in the Valleys

South Wales Metro: Reviving Productivity in the Valleys

The South Wales Metro serves not just a single city, but an entire region of suburbs historically trapped in stagnation: the South Wales Valleys. These valley towns, located north of Cardiff, include Merthyr Tydfil, Rhondda, Treherbert, Aberdare, Pontypridd, Caerphilly, and Rhymney. They thrived during the coal industry boom but were left behind as coal mining declined.

These areas have long been labeled as “low productivity regions,” but the issue lies not with the people, but with transportation. Sparse schedules and high costs of delays deter employers from hiring those who “live too far away,” while employees hesitate to seek jobs across districts. Although the straight-line distance may be short, commuting times can be lengthy, resulting in a natural contraction of the labor market, with opportunities lost to time.

The South Wales Metro aims to reframe these valleys as part of the Cardiff metropolitan area. Unlike London or Manchester, which radiate outward from a single city, it seeks to stitch together a loose, fragmented suburban network. The focus is not on speed but on frequency and reliability. When rail services are as dependable as the metro, people can confidently invest their time in work and life.

Such a transformation will directly reflect on productivity. An expanded commuting radius naturally increases the pool of human resources available to businesses; enhanced labor mobility improves the efficiency of job and skill matching; for small and medium enterprises, punctuality and reliability are competitive advantages. Productivity is never an abstract concept; it is the cumulative result of whether one can arrive on time each day.

Changes in usage patterns are equally important. The introduction of tap-in gates means that taking the train no longer requires prior research into ticket types and time slots; boarding, alighting, and automatic fare calculation become seamless. When rail travel shifts from a “planned” mode of transport to an everyday tool, actual usage rates naturally rise, thereby enhancing labor market fluidity.

On a technical level, the introduction of tram-trains allows this system to connect not only towns but also to penetrate communities. It can operate on existing railways and extend into urban activity zones, reducing friction from the last mile. For the valley towns, this often proves crucial for truly unlocking labor potential.

This project has reached its current stage due to historical context. During the UK’s EU membership, the preliminary planning and some infrastructure of the South Wales Metro received structural funding support. The underlying logic is straightforward: to enhance regional productivity, transportation infrastructure must come first.

The South Wales Metro is not a project completed overnight but is being advanced in phases. New trains, increased service frequency, and ticketing integration have gradually been implemented in recent years; with the introduction of tram-trains, the system’s critical capabilities are expected to fully materialize around 2026.

With the railways operational, whether South Wales can truly turn the tide remains to be seen. However, at least this time, the issues are no longer attributed to individuals but are beginning to be addressed as structural problems.

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A Turbulent Christmas Eve in 2025

Christmas Eve should be a moment to lay down arms and light candles; yet, on the world map of 2025, red dots remain densely clustered. The fires of conflict have not ceased for the holiday, nor has hatred cooled in the face of goodwill. This year, conflicts not only persist but intertwine and expand in various corners, creating a disturbing global tableau.

The war in Europe shows no signs of abating. The grinding conflict between Ukraine and Russia has entered its fourth winter. While territorial advances are limited, the costs continue to escalate. Militarily, it is a stalemate; economically, a burden; and politically, a test of patience. Sanctions and counter-sanctions are in play, and European energy security has transformed from a mere pricing issue into a long-term shadow of supply and risk. This war has long ceased to be merely a bilateral dispute; it is a pressure test for the entire European security order.

The wounds in the Middle East are even more grievous. The Gaza issue remains unresolved, with ceasefire windows being brief and fragile, and reconstruction negotiations repeatedly interrupted by new rounds of conflict. The security risks in the Red Sea have spilled over into global trade: shipping companies are rerouting, leading to increased time and costs; insurance premiums are rising, and markets are pricing in worst-case scenarios. While the fighting is concentrated in one area, the costs are being pushed onto businesses and families worldwide.

The turmoil in Latin America may not manifest through tanks, yet it similarly stirs great power confrontations. Venezuela’s internal legitimacy crisis remains unresolved, with the economy suffering long-term losses, and the regime increasingly inclined to adopt a hardline external stance to deflect internal pressures. More critically, the long-standing standoff with the United States continues: sanctions and exemptions are repeatedly adjusted, energy issues are highly politicized, and diplomatic communications fluctuate between warmth and coldness. This is not a traditional war but a form of low-intensity conflict: capital retreats, risk premiums rise, and refugee flows are sufficient to drag down the entire region’s development prospects.

The fires of war in Africa are often the least visible, yet the most brutal. The civil war in Sudan has nearly paralyzed the state machinery, with food shortages, disease, and displacement overlapping to create a structural humanitarian crisis. The struggle for influence by external powers makes ceasefires more difficult; the fragmentation of armed groups pushes peace further away. This is not a tragedy that can be encapsulated by the term ‘civil war,’ but rather a chain reaction following governance collapse.

The situation in Central Africa is also deteriorating. The long-standing tensions between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo persist, with periodic escalations in armed conflict in the east, intertwining mineral interests and ethnic fears. When such conflicts are viewed as a ‘tolerable norm,’ the suffering of civilians becomes a tragedy managed by statistics, with the world only briefly looking up when numbers spike.

Asia is similarly unsettled. Myanmar’s civil war is marked by a tug-of-war among multiple armed factions, continuously eroding the social foundation, with the costs borne by civilians accumulating year by year. Meanwhile, border conflicts between Thailand and Cambodia have seen substantial escalation in 2025, as historical disputes combine with national sentiments and domestic politics, making previously manageable frictions harder to cool.

A common feature of the conflicts in 2025 is that war is no longer confined to the battlefield. Cyberattacks, information warfare, and the weaponization of sanctions have made non-military means the norm. The lines between front and rear have blurred, with energy, food, shipping, and finance all caught up in the fray; no society can truly remain untouched.

Yet, the meaning of Christmas Eve lies in not bowing to reality. History repeatedly reminds us that war is not inevitable, and peace is not a gift from above. It requires institutions, patience, and honest compromise. Whether 2026 can be better does not depend on the eloquence of well-wishes, but on whether all parties are willing to view de-escalation as courage, to treat ceasefires as starting points, and to see reconstruction as a shared interest.

The candlelight may be weak, but it can illuminate the way. May 2026 see fewer frontlines and more negotiation tables; less hatred and more restraint. Peace is not a slogan but a decision that must be repeatedly chosen.

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The Political and Architectural Allegory of the Scottish Parliament

The Political and Architectural Allegory of the Scottish Parliament

In the political landscape of the United Kingdom, London has never been the sole centre. At the eastern end of Edinburgh, beneath Arthur’s Seat and opposite Holyrood Palace, stands a building that is bizarre in shape, fragmented in lines, yet highly symbolic. It quietly embodies Scotland’s three-century quest for ‘devolution’. This is not an ordinary local council; it is a constitutionally recognised national parliament—the Scottish Parliament.

Scotland’s incorporation into the United Kingdom was not an overnight affair. In 1603, King James VI of Scotland ascended to the English throne, forming a ‘Union of the Crowns’, while both countries retained their own parliaments and legal systems. The true merger occurred in 1707 with the passage of the Acts of Union, which merged the Scottish and English parliaments into the Parliament of Great Britain, centralising sovereignty in Westminster. Although Scotland retained its legal system, church, and education system, political decision-making power was removed from Edinburgh. This state of ‘retained institutions, withdrawn power’ created a sense of unease for the next three centuries.

By the end of the 20th century, this tension was finally addressed. In 1997, the Labour government held a referendum asking whether Scotland should establish a devolved parliament and grant it limited tax powers. The results were clear and emphatic: over 70% supported the establishment of a parliament, and nearly 60% backed tax powers. The following year, the Scotland Act was passed, and in 1999, the Scottish Parliament officially returned to Edinburgh. This was not independence, but ‘devolution’—a system that acknowledges the reality of multi-layered governance within a single sovereign state.

The logic of power in the Scottish Parliament is fundamentally different from that of local governments in England. It operates not on a ‘central grant of permissions’ basis, but rather on the principle that ‘everything is devolved except reserved matters’. Reserved matters include core sovereign domains such as foreign affairs, defence, immigration, macroeconomics, and monetary policy; all other areas, such as education, healthcare, transport, housing, local government, environment, and criminal justice, are legislated and executed by Scotland itself. This has enabled Scotland to implement free university education, prescription-free medications, and a public health and energy policy distinct from that of England. This is not symbolic autonomy, but substantive governance.

The institution that embodies this system is a building that also rejects tradition. The Scottish Parliament building, designed by Spanish architect Enric Miralles, was inaugurated in 2004. It lacks grand domes and classical colonnades, instead featuring an asymmetric structure, fragmented lines, and a mix of wood and stone. The exterior’s ‘panels’ have been described as inverted boats and abstract human figures, symbolising the people; the entire building opens up to the city rather than towering over it. Critics have labelled it expensive, chaotic, and difficult to understand, but like Scotland’s constitutional status, it was never intended to please those accustomed to simple answers.

This parliament is not out of reach. It has long offered free tours led by trained guides who explain the workings of the parliament, the architectural philosophy, and the political context. Visitors can enter the debating chamber, sit in the public gallery, and observe how a devolved government discusses public affairs up close. These tours are not merely sightseeing; they serve as a concrete and honest form of civic education. For anyone concerned about the future of the UK and how ‘devolution’ and ‘unity’ can coexist, spending an hour here is worthwhile.

The Scottish Parliament reminds us that the UK is not a nation of a single rhythm, but a composite upheld by historical compromises. Power is not merely concentrated or fragmented; there remains space for institutional design in between. The issue is not whether the system is perfect, but whether it allows different regions to respond to their own issues in their own ways. This building stands at the foot of a hill—not high, but very real.

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Only Six Great-Grandchildren per Hundred: South Korea and Hong Kong

When a society reaches the point where only six great-grandchildren remain for every hundred people after four generations, the issue is no longer merely low fertility rates; rather, it indicates a collapse in population structure. South Korea is currently in this state. However, what should truly alarm Hong Kong residents is not how extreme South Korea’s situation is, but rather that Hong Kong’s fertility rate has actually reached the same level as South Korea’s, with remarkably similar underlying causes.

The problems in South Korea are not particularly mysterious. It is not that young people suddenly dislike having children, nor is it a collective collapse of values; rather, the system has turned childbirth into a high-risk endeavor. For women, having a child often means a disruption in their careers. Long working hours, a culture of overtime, and promotions predicated on full-time commitment make it nearly impossible to balance parenting with professional development. Once a woman becomes a mother, her income, future prospects, and retirement security may suffer long-term losses. This is not a temporary inconvenience but a downhill path predetermined by the system.

The costs of education and child-rearing further amplify these risks. South Korea’s intense competition for educational advancement, with limited spots in prestigious schools and high returns on investment, has led to a tutoring arms race. Parents, even when aware that overall societal efficiency may not improve, dare not withdraw from this competition, as the cost of doing so would fall squarely on their children. In such an environment, having one child is already a struggle, while having a second is akin to voluntarily diluting resources. Low birth rates are not a moral choice but rather the result of rational calculations.

The rapid decline of marriage exacerbates the situation. In South Korea, childbirth is heavily dependent on marriage; as the younger generation becomes wary of the economic and gender risks associated with marriage, fertility naturally plummets. Coupled with the population inertia left by decades of official anti-natalist policies, even recent government subsidies have struggled to reverse the overall trend.

All of this is not unfamiliar to Hong Kong. Today, Hong Kong’s fertility rate is nearly as low as South Korea’s, and in many critical aspects, Hong Kong is even at a greater disadvantage.

First, the career penalties are equally present. Hong Kong’s long working hours, fast pace, and fierce competition are extremely unfriendly to caregiving responsibilities. While there is talk of family-friendly policies, sustainable flexible work arrangements and childcare support are severely limited. For many women, having children similarly means a decline in income, uncertain futures, and even marginalization in the job market. The system has not made room for parenting, leaving individuals with no choice but to retreat.

The pressures of housing and education serve as amplifiers in Hong Kong. Persistently high property prices and rents have turned living space itself into a scarce resource, inherently diminishing the desire to raise children. In terms of education, although there are no extreme cases of overnight tutoring like in South Korea, the system of prestigious schools, disparities between district schools, extracurricular activities, and a culture of not falling behind at the starting line compel families to invest significant amounts of money and time. While having one child may be manageable, having two quickly becomes a risk management issue.

Marriage and childbirth in Hong Kong are also highly intertwined. When marriage entails long-term financial commitments, housing pressures, and a decline in quality of life, and the system fails to share the risks of child-rearing, young people naturally choose to delay or even forgo marriage and children. This is not a denial of family values but a rational response to an uncertain future.

The fundamental issue is that, whether in South Korea or Hong Kong, child-rearing is almost entirely viewed as a private responsibility. Childcare, caregiving, education, and housing are primarily borne by families themselves, with the government’s role largely limited to sporadic subsidies rather than structural reform. The result is that each family must bear all the risks alone, and under such a system, having fewer or no children becomes the safest choice.

South Korea is not an exception but rather a magnifying glass. It reveals that when the system long ignores the real costs of childbirth, population does not merely decline gradually; it can suddenly collapse at a certain point. Once the critical threshold is breached, school closures, community aging, and youth outflow will create a self-reinforcing vicious cycle.

Today, Hong Kong stands at the same fertility rate level as South Korea, yet it still tends to attribute the problem to individual choices or values. This is the real danger. Population issues are never emotional but are the result of systemic factors. If we do not address working hours, housing, childcare, and career penalties head-on, South Korea’s present may very well be a rehearsal for Hong Kong’s future.

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Labour Leaders Advocate Rejoining European Customs Union

Recently, a term that had been deliberately set aside after Brexit has resurfaced in British politics: customs union. Health Secretary Wes Streeting publicly stated that the UK should no longer consider rejoining the EU customs union as a taboo. This remark is particularly striking as it exposes a harsh reality: under the Labour Party’s current three red lines, the institutional friction between the UK and the EU cannot be genuinely repaired.

This is not the first time senior Labour figures have signaled a similar message. Deputy Prime Minister and Justice Secretary David Lammy has indicated that establishing closer economic ties with the EU is a pragmatic choice. He specifically mentioned Turkey as an example: although Turkey is not an EU member, it is within the customs union and ‘seems to be benefiting from it, with its economy continuing to grow.’ The implication here is quite clear.

Many still question: Did not the UK sign a free trade agreement with the EU? The issue lies precisely here: free trade agreements address ‘whether there are tariffs’ but do not resolve ‘how to cross borders.’ Rules of origin, repeated customs declarations, compliance documents, and border checks create a set of invisible yet costly non-tariff barriers. For industries reliant on just-in-time logistics, such as automotive, chemicals, food, and pharmaceuticals, these frictions are the key factors that slow down investment and compel companies to rethink their operations.

The substantial benefit of a customs union lies in the removal of these institutional frictions all at once. Member states do not need to provide proof of origin, goods do not require repeated customs declarations, and borders become almost a formality. This is not an abstract system but rather a reflection of time and costs manifested daily at Dover, in warehouses, and on supply chain ledgers. The simpler the system, the higher the competitiveness.

Of course, rejoining the customs union is not without its costs: the UK would lose its independent tariff policy space and may have to restart trade negotiations with countries like Australia, New Zealand, the United States, and India with which it has already signed trade agreements. However, in terms of scale, proximity, and industrial structure, the EU remains the UK’s largest, closest, and most complementary trading partner, far outweighing any single country. Most trade agreements the UK has signed in recent years have limited economic benefits and cannot offset the long-term losses caused by the decline in trade with the EU. The costs of institutional friction accumulate daily in reality.

Labour officials are not the first to propose this route. The Liberal Democrats have long advocated that the UK should rejoin the EU customs union, while the Green Party has gone further, openly calling for rejoining the EU. These past proposals were seen as fringe voices, but they are gradually moving towards the mainstream for a simple reason: politicians are finally catching up with public opinion.

The resurgence of the customs union is not a nostalgic political move but an attempt at institutional repair. It may not be the endpoint, but it is likely the only halfway house that can materially improve the functioning of the UK economy without restarting a referendum or fully returning to the single market. Whether the UK is willing to acknowledge this is the real question worth observing.

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