Author name: 胡思

A Landmark Ruling on Tariffs and the Constitution

On February 20, 2026, the United States Supreme Court ruled 6 to 3 to overturn the extensive global tariffs imposed by President Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. This case transcends a mere trade dispute; it is a significant ruling regarding the constitutional boundaries of power. The issue at hand is not whether the tariffs had political support, but whether the president had the authority to impose them.

Beginning in April 2025, Trump declared a state of economic emergency, imposing a baseline tariff of at least 10% on imports from most trading partners, with even higher rates for certain countries and products. The White House justified this move by citing trade deficits, supply chain risks, and national security concerns related to the influx of fentanyl. The administration argued that the law granted the president the authority to regulate imports during an emergency, thereby encompassing tariff measures.

However, businesses and several state governments filed lawsuits, arguing that the law did not explicitly authorize the president to impose tariffs. Tariffs are fundamentally a form of taxation, and the U.S. Constitution clearly grants the power to levy taxes and tariffs to Congress. The executive branch may adjust tariffs under explicit congressional authorization, but it cannot unilaterally create a new comprehensive taxation tool. The case ultimately reached the Supreme Court.

The majority of justices noted that when a law involves significant economic and political implications, Congress must express its authorization for the executive branch to act in clear and specific terms. General emergency authorization clauses cannot be extended to serve as a basis for reshaping the entire tariff system. This encapsulates the core spirit of the so-called major questions doctrine. In other words, the boundaries of executive power cannot be defined by the executive itself.

Dissenting opinions argued that trade policy falls within the political realm and should be managed by elected officials. However, the majority opinion emphasized that precisely because the policy has far-reaching effects, judicial review is necessary to ensure the legitimacy of the source of power. The judiciary does not interfere in politics; rather, it upholds the baseline of the system.

As for whether tariffs already collected need to be refunded, this remains a technical and procedural issue. Generally, when tariffs are deemed illegal by a court, affected businesses can apply for refunds through customs and court procedures. If the ruling is retroactive, theoretically, illegal taxes should be refunded; if it only restricts future collections, the approach may differ. Specific arrangements will depend on the details of administrative execution and subsequent legal processes.

The significance of this ruling extends beyond a single trade policy victory or defeat; it reaffirms the constitutional framework. Congress legislates, the president executes, and the judiciary reviews—each branch has its distinct role and mutual checks and balances. When the executive branch seeks to expand its power under the guise of a state of emergency, the role of the courts is to delineate the boundaries.

The overturning of Trump’s tariffs does not signify the end of trade disputes, nor does it imply the disappearance of political divisions. It serves as a reminder that the President of the United States is not a monarch endowed with divine right. True democracy lies not only in electoral outcomes but also in institutional design; it rests not only on authorization but also on the balance of power.

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The Truth About Refugees and UK Public Finances

The UK government spends approximately £1.2 trillion annually, with around £5 billion allocated to refugees and asylum seekers, accounting for less than 0.4% of total expenditure. At this point, the issue could have been considered settled.

However, politics rarely allows matters to conclude so simply. The figure of 0.4% is too calm, too difficult to incite emotion, and too unhelpful for garnering votes. Consequently, the numbers are downplayed, while emotions are elevated; refugees and asylum seekers have conveniently become scapegoats.

Let us clarify a frequently confused fact: a significant portion of refugee-related expenditure actually comes from the Official Development Assistance (ODA) budget. By design, this money cannot be used for local public services; whether spent on asylum seekers or not, it does not translate into more hospitals or additional beds in the UK. To claim that ODA spending ‘takes away resources for livelihoods’ is a conceptual sleight of hand. More importantly, if this portion is excluded, the actual expenditure that directly competes with local public services is even lower than 0.4%. However, such precision is of no use in politics.

Anyone who believes that the government can simply cut this less than 0.4% of expenditure to transform the UK from poverty to prosperity has a flawed understanding of mathematics. Unfortunately, mathematics has never been a strong suit in elections.

Thus, demonization has become a shortcut. Hotels are requisitioned, accommodation sites are established near communities, and images of small boats are repeatedly broadcast; these highly visible scenes are sufficient to overshadow the entire government budget. In contrast, the items that truly consume public finances—healthcare, pensions, and debt interest—are vast and silent, unable to bear the brunt of public anger. Political discourse thus chooses the most visible and least defensible group of people.

Systemic failures are consequently obscured. Backlogs in asylum processing, work prohibitions, and reliance on high-cost temporary accommodation are all outcomes of policy choices; acknowledging this would necessitate reform and accountability. In comparison, shifting the bill to refugees is both easier and safer.

This is not a new trick. When pressing issues such as housing shortages, healthcare waiting times, and local government financial crises cannot be swiftly resolved, someone must be scapegoated to absorb public discontent. Today it is refugees, yesterday it was EU migrants, and tomorrow it could be anyone; what matters is that the target must be weak, silent, and unable to retaliate.

As a result, a ludicrous situation has emerged in British society: a group that accounts for less than 0.4% of public finances is portrayed as the root cause of public distress, while the genuine policy failures and structural issues that determine quality of life remain largely unaddressed.

It is always easier to cast a group of people as enemies than to confront reality and solve problems.

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How Sunbelt Regions Are Reshaping the Global Economy

The energy transition is not merely a matter of emissions reduction; it is also about costs.

In the era of renewable energy, low latitudes become competitive. The so-called Sunbelt encompasses Southern Europe, North Africa, the Middle East, India, Australia, the southern United States, and large areas of sub-Saharan Africa. These regions receive between 2,500 and 3,500 hours of sunlight annually, while many parts of Northern Europe receive only about 1,000 hours. Although the price of solar panels is similar globally, the output can differ significantly, sometimes by a factor of two.

The key to solar energy lies in capacity factors. The same equipment in India or North Africa generates far more output than in the UK or Germany. Over the past decade, the cost of photovoltaics has fallen by more than 80%. As equipment becomes cheaper, geographical advantages become apparent. If electricity prices can be kept between €20 and €30 per megawatt-hour in the long term, energy-intensive industries will naturally relocate. Sectors such as aluminum, steel, hydrogen, and data centers will not cling to high electricity prices.

A turning point emerges here.

In the era of fossil fuels, resources were concentrated in a few exporting countries. Solar energy, however, is widely distributed and tends to favor low latitudes. Many developing economies, previously constrained by energy shortages, now have the opportunity to turn the tide. India already has a manufacturing base and a large market. If coupled with stable and inexpensive green electricity, its attractiveness will increase further. Sub-Saharan Africa has long struggled with power shortages, but if photovoltaics and energy storage are deployed effectively, the threshold for industrialization will lower.

The global factory may not always be in East Asia.

Low electricity prices are the most compelling incentive. Capital will take notice. As energy costs comprise a higher proportion of total costs, geographical advantages become more pronounced. If Sunbelt countries can ensure the stability of their electricity supply and transparency in their systems, they could very well attract a new wave of industrial migration.

As for Europe, the issue is more straightforward. Rather than forcing photovoltaics in areas with insufficient sunlight, it would be better to first unlock the potential of Southern Europe. There remains significant solar capacity in Spain, Portugal, Southern Italy, and Greece. Strengthening cross-border electricity grids to transmit excess power from the south to Central and Northern Europe is a pragmatic choice. Although the cost of high-voltage direct current transmission is not low, transmission losses are manageable, making it a one-time infrastructure investment.

As demand continues to rise, collaboration with North Africa can be considered based on circumstances. The Mediterranean is not far away. While political risks exist, energy diversification itself is a method of hedging against risks.

Energy has never been purely a technical issue; it is a combination of geography and systems.

The sun will not move, but industries will.

In the past, those who controlled oil wells held the advantage. In the future, those who harness sunlight will gain the upper hand. The question is not whether the sun is fair, but whether countries understand how to move towards it.

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Tourist Tax: Fairness vs. Competitiveness

Tourists bring consumption, but they also incur costs. When governments legislate to allow local councils to impose overnight visitor taxes, the core question is quite simple: who should bear the additional burden on the city?

The so-called tourist tax is not a punitive charge but an overnight fee added to accommodation costs. Typically, this fee is collected by hotels, guesthouses, and short-term rental platforms like Airbnb. The calculation is usually a fixed amount per room per night or per person per night, which the operators then remit to the local government. The design of the system emphasizes simplicity and transparency to avoid excessive administrative costs.

The rationale for imposing such a fee is not difficult to understand. During peak seasons, the streets of Edinburgh become congested, leading to increased cleaning and policing expenses; during major events and concerts in Manchester, public transport and municipal facilities experience heightened strain; and Brighton sees a significant surge in foot traffic on summer weekends, resulting in noticeable wear on infrastructure. Since tourists utilize the city’s public resources, it is only fair that they contribute to some of the costs. If these expenses are solely borne by local municipal taxes, it may not be equitable for residents.

The issue lies not in the principle but in the design. If the revenue from the tax is earmarked for specific uses, such as improving transportation, maintaining historical buildings, and enhancing cleanliness and safety, the policy is more likely to gain consensus. However, if the revenue flows into the general treasury merely to fill budget gaps, public trust will quickly erode. The legitimacy of the tax hinges on its clear and restrained purpose.

Yet economic behavior is rarely dictated by principles alone. For business travelers, a few pounds per night may not significantly impact their decisions; however, for families, it could be a different story. A family of four staying for three nights, with an additional charge of £3 per night, would incur an extra £36. For those on a tight budget, this could alter their choices.

Moreover, there is a concerning phenomenon known as the ‘displacement effect.’ If a fee is imposed in the city center, cost-sensitive travelers may opt to stay in the outskirts or nearby towns to avoid the surcharge. They would still enter the city during the day for shopping but return to their accommodations outside in the evening. The result could be increased traffic flow, a rise in commuter traffic, and greater pressure on roads. A policy intended to alleviate burdens in the city center may inadvertently shift costs to transportation and environmental concerns.

Regional competition cannot be overlooked either. If some cities impose fees while others do not, will this marginally affect the location choices for exhibitions and large events? The tourism industry is already influenced by exchange rates and economic cycles; the psychological impact of an additional fee should not be underestimated.

There is also a practical consideration. Once a tax system is established, raising rates is often easier than repealing them. Today it may be £2 or £3 per night, but will it increase tomorrow? Without a clear cap and regular review mechanisms, the policy can easily shift from ‘reasonable burden-sharing’ to ‘fiscal dependency.’

Essentially, the tourist tax is a tool for cost distribution. Cities must attract the world while maintaining the quality of life for residents. If all additional burdens are placed on local taxpayers, it is not fair; if the tax is excessive, it may weaken the city’s appeal and even alter accommodation and transportation patterns.

The issue has never been about right or wrong emotions, but rather about economic calculations. How much is collected, how it is used, and whether it can be restrained will determine the success or failure of the policy. Charging is not difficult; earning trust is.

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The Astronomical Logic of the Lunar Calendar

The lunar calendar is not a vague folk tradition but a system governed by clear astronomical rules. Its central question is singular: how to simultaneously track the moon and the sun, ensuring that months follow lunar phases while years remain aligned with the four seasons.

The historical evolution can be summarized. The ancient ‘Xia Calendar’ established the prototype of a system that began the year in the month of Yin. In 104 BC, the Western Han dynasty promulgated the ‘Taichu Calendar’, which first fully established a lunisolar calendar system that set the new moon as the start of the month and corrected the solar year with solar terms. In 1645, during the early Qing dynasty, the ‘Shixian Calendar’ was implemented, introducing Western astronomical calculation methods to derive new moons and solar terms based on actual celestial phenomena. Since then, the calendar has entered a phase based on precise astronomical calculations. The modern lunar calendar has developed along this technical trajectory.

The specific calculation methods are regulated by the ‘Compilation and Issuance of the Lunar Calendar’ (GB/T 33661-2017), implemented in mainland China in 2017. The principles are not mysterious and can be summarized in four steps.

First, the month is determined by the astronomical new moon. When the moon and the sun have the same ecliptic longitude and the moon’s surface is not visible from Earth, this moment is called the new moon. According to Beijing time, the day of the new moon is designated as the first day of the month. A synodic month averages approximately 29.53 days, so lunar months alternate between 29 and 30 days without a fixed pattern.

Second, the year is determined by solar terms. The Earth’s orbit around the sun creates 24 solar terms, with one term occurring every 15 degrees. Among these, 12 are ‘mid-terms’, such as the spring equinox, summer solstice, autumn equinox, and winter solstice. Mid-terms are crucial for correcting the calendar year.

Third, a month without a mid-term is designated as a leap month. Twelve synodic months total about 354 days, which is roughly 11 days shorter than the tropical year of about 365.2422 days. To prevent solar terms from advancing each year, the rule states that if there is no mid-term between one new moon and the next, that month is designated as a leap month, retaining the name of the previous month. On average, there are about 19 leap months in 7 cycles, but the actual determination depends on the celestial phenomena of that year.

Fourth, the eleventh month is determined by the winter solstice. The standard requires that the winter solstice must fall within the eleventh month of the lunar calendar. By calculating forwards and backwards from this point, it ensures that the first day of the lunar new year generally falls between late January and mid-February in the Gregorian calendar, maintaining the relative stability between the Spring Festival and the beginning of spring.

The logic of this entire system is clear: the new moon addresses the ‘month’ issue, mid-terms address the ‘year’ issue, leap months resolve the discrepancies between the lunar and solar cycles, and the winter solstice establishes the sequence of the year. The tools for calculation may have evolved from counting rods to computers, but the principles remain unchanged.

Thus, the lunar calendar is neither purely lunar nor purely solar; it is a lunisolar calendar based on astronomical observations. Its stability lies not in tradition but in rules.

Time originates from celestial bodies, and calendars merely translate celestial phenomena into human order. What appears complex is, in fact, the repeated application of a few clear principles.

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The Value and Considerations of Water Softeners

The Value and Considerations of Water Softeners

In the UK, one of the most underestimated hidden costs of living is not rent or energy bills, but water. Many residents only notice after some time that their kettles have a white residue, irons begin to emit white powder, showerheads lose pressure, and washing machines and dishwashers seem to age prematurely. These phenomena are not due to product quality issues, but rather the long-term effects of hard water.

Hard water is not a sign of unclean water; it contains higher concentrations of calcium and magnesium. In many areas of the UK, tap water comes from underground sources that flow through limestone and chalk strata, naturally dissolving minerals. It is important to clarify that these minerals are harmless to human health and are even considered neutral to slightly beneficial in public health studies; for instance, calcium is good for bones, and magnesium is related to cardiovascular function. However, the amount of minerals provided by hard water is limited, and many people have already filtered out or precipitated these minerals when boiling water, brewing coffee, or using water filters, rendering the health implications negligible. The real impact lies in daily life and equipment.

The distribution of hard water in the UK is highly uneven. Overall, the southern and eastern parts of England experience the most severe hard water issues, while the northern and western regions are relatively mild. Areas around London, including Kent, Essex, Hertfordshire, and Cambridgeshire, are generally classified as very hard water zones. In contrast, cities like Manchester and Birmingham, as well as regions in Wales and Scotland, primarily rely on surface water, which is significantly softer and has far fewer limescale problems. This north-south disparity reflects a tangible difference in daily living experiences.

The problems caused by hard water first manifest in efficiency. When limescale coats heating elements, their heat transfer capacity declines, requiring longer heating times and higher energy consumption for the same amount of water. Consequently, boilers, washing machines, and dishwashers consume more electricity and are more prone to premature aging. This is not a sudden malfunction but rather a chronic wear-and-tear issue.

However, not all appliances require a water softener for protection. For most household devices, regular use of descalers can effectively manage the risks. Kettles, coffee machines, and irons can significantly reduce limescale accumulation if descaled according to recommended frequencies. The same applies to washing machines and dishwashers, which already have dedicated descaling powders and cleaning programs available on the market. Dishwashers also use dishwasher salt, and many laundry capsules and powders now include anti-limescale components, designed with the assumption that users are in hard water environments. In other words, through regular maintenance and consumables, many hard water issues can be managed rather than spiraling out of control.

For certain sensitive applications, a complete home overhaul may not be necessary. For instance, medical equipment can directly use distilled or deionized water to avoid any mineral residues. This approach is technically the cleanest but comes at a relatively high cost, making it suitable only for small quantities and specific uses, and it cannot serve as a substitute for everyday water.

The real challenge that cannot be resolved with descalers lies within the entire hot water system. Limescale accumulated in boilers, hot water tanks, and pipes will not disappear simply because you diligently clean your kettle. Once accumulated, it still requires chemical cleaning or maintenance, which can be costly and risky. This context is why water softeners have historically been viewed as a form of ‘long-term protection.’ However, in low-temperature systems centered around heat pumps, these risks have been significantly reduced, thereby diminishing the value of water softeners.

Therefore, whether a water softener is worth it hinges not on ‘whether there are alternative methods,’ but rather on ‘what types of costs you wish to avoid.’ If you live in an area with severe hard water, have a large household, use a lot of water, and plan to stay long-term, a water softener may still play a role. However, if you have switched to a heat pump and can accept regular descaling and maintenance, it is more likely to be an optional upgrade rather than a necessary investment.

Labeling water softeners simply as ‘intelligence tax’ or ‘essentials’ is inaccurate. They are not tools for enhancing health but rather long-term protective solutions tailored to specific regions, technologies, and durations of residence. In the UK, the need for a water softener has never been a matter of belief but rather a calculable aspect of daily living.

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The History and Power Behind Hospital Names

Many public hospitals in Hong Kong are named after members of the British royal family or colonial figures. These names are frequently mentioned, yet a deeper inquiry reveals whom they truly commemorate: a specific individual or merely a title? Behind these names lies a history of systems and power.

Take, for instance, the Queen Mary Hospital. Numerous figures named Mary appear throughout British history. The most famous is Mary I of England, known as “Bloody Mary” for her persecution of Protestants. Another notable figure is Mary Stuart, Queen of Scots, whose tragic life remains a classic chapter in European royal history. However, the Queen Mary Hospital in Hong Kong does not commemorate either of these women.

Opened in 1937, the hospital honors Queen Mary, the wife of King George V. She was the mother of King George VI and the grandmother of Queen Elizabeth II. During the height of the Empire, naming large medical facilities after the spouse of the reigning monarch was a common practice in the colonies. The name serves as both a mark of respect and a symbol of authority.

Next, consider the Margaret Hospital. This Margaret is not Margaret Thatcher or any other notable figure with the same name. The hospital commemorates Princess Margaret, the sister of Queen Elizabeth II. Opened in 1975, the use of a princess’s name continues the royal tradition rather than being a random choice of a namesake.

As for the Prince of Wales Hospital, the distinction is even more nuanced. Does it commemorate a specific heir apparent or the title itself? The title “Prince of Wales” is a traditional designation for the British heir, not fixed to any one individual. When the hospital opened in 1984, the Prince of Wales was the future King Charles III. Thus, historically, it corresponds to Charles, but institutionally, it commemorates the title of heir apparent. Today, with a different Prince of Wales, the hospital’s name remains unchanged, indicating that it functions more as a symbol than a personal tribute.

Beyond the royals, several other names warrant explanation.

Nethersole Hospital derives its name from British physician Alice Nethersole, who came to Hong Kong in the late 19th century to promote Western medicine and nursing education, particularly focusing on maternal and child health. Her surname, Nethersole, was transliterated as “那打素.” The early development of medical care in Hong Kong was closely tied to the church.

The Ruttonjee Hospital commemorates businessman and philanthropist Sir Paul Ruttonjee, who long supported sanatoriums for tuberculosis and public medical facilities. Today’s Ruttonjee Hospital in Wan Chai traces its origins back to those early sanatoriums.

The Lady D’Aguilar Clinic honors Sir David D’Aguilar, who served as Governor of Hong Kong from 1964 to 1971, during which he faced the 1967 riots and the expansion of public housing. Naming a hospital after a sitting governor reflected the political realities of the time. Although the hospital has since undergone reorganization, the name remains in historical records.

Naming is never accidental. Royal symbols represent the authority of the sovereign state, while missionaries and philanthropists signify sources of funding and expertise, and the names of governors reflect administrative leadership. Nearly 30 years have passed since the 1997 handover of sovereignty, and the city has undergone rapid transformation, yet most of these names remain in use. They are gradually distancing themselves from their original political contexts, evolving into geographical labels.

Perhaps one day, people will no longer inquire about their origins. Yet in these times of frequent change, one can only hope that these names endure—not for nostalgia’s sake, but as a reminder to the city that systems have roots and history has sources.

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Public Funds, Private Control: The UK Bus Privatization Dilemma

The issues surrounding local buses in the UK extend beyond mere driver shortages or declining passenger numbers. The real conflict lies in a system branded as a private market that increasingly relies on public funds for survival, while public authority is excluded from decision-making.

Since the 1980s, buses outside London in England have been treated as ‘commercial operations’. Routes, schedules, and fares are determined by bus companies themselves; local governments can only provide subsidies without the power to plan. In theory, market competition should enhance efficiency; in reality, busy routes face overlapping competition, while remote areas and off-peak services are continually reduced. Urban transport has ceased to function as a cohesive system, devolving into a collection of disparate commercial products.

Fares illustrate the problem well. Outside London, bus companies can set their own prices. Recent government initiatives to cap single fares at £2 and £3 may appear to regulate fares, but in practice, they merely use subsidies to bridge the gap between private pricing and policy objectives. This is not an exercise of public authority but rather a case of public funds chasing the market. Fares have not been systematically lowered; they have simply been temporarily obscured.

More critically, consider the revenue structure. Under the concessionary fare system, elderly and eligible individuals ride for free, and local governments are legally required to compensate bus companies. Over the years, this subsidy has become a stable source of income for many operators. When concessionary fare reimbursements, fare cap subsidies, and support for non-profitable routes are combined, the proportion of local bus operating revenue derived from public funds has approached 40% or more in many areas. The so-called ‘market operation’ is, in fact, built upon public finances.

However, the most absurd aspect of the system is not the level of subsidies but the lack of control that comes with them. Even though public funds form the revenue base, local governments remain powerless to decide whether routes should be retained, frequencies increased, or fare structures integrated. If operators deem a route unprofitable, they can simply notify the authorities and cancel it with virtually no substantive consequences. The repercussions of service failures are borne by citizens, while political accountability falls on local governments that lack decision-making power.

This misalignment is also evident in daily operations. Maintaining standby drivers constitutes a long-term cost; cancelling a bus service incurs almost no immediate penalties. Under the private system, cancellation often becomes the cheapest option. Reliability is not priced into the system, leading the market to undervalue it. Consequently, citizens receive not a predictable public service but a transportation option that can be arbitrarily withdrawn.

London demonstrates that things can be different. When routes, schedules, and fares are returned to public planning, operators become mere contractors, and cancellations or delays constitute breaches of contract with tangible consequences. This is not without cost; rather, it is a choice to exchange public control for reliability and overall efficiency. Greater Manchester is moving along this path, Wales has fully shifted to public planning, and Scotland has included similar options in its legislation.

It is noteworthy that almost no region has chosen to revert to the previous model after reclaiming control. The reason is simple: when funds must be spent, it is better to use them to regain power and accountability. The real issue is no longer whether to privatize but whether to continue allowing a system of ‘public funds underpinning private control’ to operate.

The predicament of UK buses is not one of inefficiency but of systemic contradiction. As public funding increases, public control diminishes, and service quality inevitably fails to improve. This is not a market failure; it is a consequence of policy choices.

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The Astronomical Mystery of Lunar New Year and Missing Day 30

On the eve of the Lunar New Year in 2026, many people noticed an unusual occurrence: there is no Day 30 this year. The twelfth month of the lunar calendar has only 29 days, and after Day 29, it directly transitions to Day 1 of the new year. This is not a calendrical error or a deliberate adjustment, but rather a natural consequence of astronomical movements. In fact, from 2025 to 2029, there will be five consecutive lunar years without a Day 30, with the next occurrence not expected until 2030.

To understand this phenomenon, one must first grasp the fundamentals of the lunar calendar. The lunar calendar is a lunisolar calendar. Months are determined by the waxing and waning of the moon, with each astronomical new moon, or ‘Shuo’, marking the first day of the lunar month. The average duration from one new moon to the next is approximately 29.53 days, known as a synodic month. Since calendar dates cannot be fractional, each month can only have either 29 or 30 days. If the interval between two new moons is less than 30 days, that month is a short month with 29 days; if it exceeds, it is a long month with 30 days.

When the twelfth month of the lunar calendar happens to be a short month, the last day of the year is Day 29, not Day 30. This entirely depends on the actual length of the synodic month. The year 2026 falls into this category, hence the absence of Day 30. Such arrangements are not uncommon; they are a natural result of the moon’s orbital cycle.

As for why the Lunar New Year does not have a fixed date in the Gregorian calendar, the key lies in the differing foundations of the two calendars. Twelve synodic months total about 354 days, which is approximately 11 days shorter than the Gregorian year of about 365 days. Without adjustments, the Lunar New Year would advance each year, eventually drifting away from its original seasonal alignment. To keep the calendar in sync with the seasons, the lunar calendar employs a leap month system. When specific conditions arise in the arrangement of solar terms and months, an extra leap month is added to compensate for the discrepancy with the solar year.

For this reason, the date of the Lunar New Year fluctuates between January 21 and February 20 in the Gregorian calendar. The first day of the lunar new year in 2026 falls on February 17, which is simply a result of astronomical calculations. The Gregorian calendar seeks consistency and regularity, while the lunar calendar reflects the actual rhythms of the moon and sun. The differing systems naturally lead to different expressions.

Once we understand this principle, we will not be confused by the absence of a ’30’. The arrangement of time is not arbitrarily decided; it is a manifestation of celestial movements on Earth. The variability of the lunar calendar is a testament to its respect for natural rhythms.

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The Reality of Green Belts in the UK

When discussing green belts, many in the UK envision a ring of accessible natural spaces. However, the reality is often quite the opposite: many areas lack forests and pathways, consisting instead of farmland or wasteland, and are predominantly private land, restricting public access. They are neither Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONB) nor country parks, and do not exist for the purpose of ‘using nature’.

The crux lies in the original intent of the system. The UK’s green belts are fundamentally a tool of urban planning rather than an environmental policy. Established post-war to prevent urban sprawl, the core rule is singular: no building is allowed. The ecological richness of the land or its benefits to the public are of no concern to the system. As long as development is prohibited, the land is deemed compliant.

This approach is not mainstream internationally. Other countries also have urban boundaries, but these are often seen as adjustable tools; in the UK, however, the prohibition of development is moralized and sanctified as a means of protecting nature. Once designated as a green belt, the land is almost permanently frozen, with the political costs of review and adjustment being extremely high.

The outcome directly affects land quality. The safest choice for landowners is to maintain low-investment, low-ecological-value uses. Single crops, grazing land, or even semi-wild states are considered more ‘stable’ than actively restoring nature. The system only protects the boundaries but does not safeguard the value, leading to a planning vacuum within the green belts.

A more significant consequence emerges in urban structure. Many British cities have height restrictions, preventing tall buildings, while boundaries cannot expand. Development must leap over green belts, spilling into more distant towns. This creates a separation between cities, with a ring of undeveloped yet underutilized land in between, forcing people to live further away and travel longer distances.

This spatial pattern undermines the viability of public transport. With insufficient density, rail and bus services struggle to operate at high frequencies, resulting in increased reliance on private cars. Green belts have not reduced travel; rather, they have extended commuting distances.

The UK’s green belts are ‘not green’ by chance, but rather a result of systemic logic. When policies merely prohibit development without requiring land to create ecological or public value, what remains is a line that appears green but is, in reality, hollow. The real question worth contemplating is not whether to retain green belts, but whether they still merit preservation in today’s context.

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